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December Rural Mainstreet Index Rises Above Growth Neutral

December 24, 2019

The Creighton University Rural Mainstreet Index (RMI) for December remained above growth neutral for the fourth straight month and for the 10th time in the past 12 months, according to the monthly survey of bank CEOs in rural areas of a 10-state region dependent on agriculture and/or energy. Overall: While the overall index for December fell […]

$40 Billion of U.S. Farm Purchases Viable, According to JCI

December 23, 2019

After the U.S. and China reached an initial trade deal earlier this month, doubts began to emerge about the potential for China to quickly increase demand of U.S. farm goods to the $40-$50 billion annual range envisioned in the agreement. “Newsletter: Does China Really Need $50B in U.S. Farm Goods?” by Jeffrey Sparshott. The Wall Street Journal Online (December […]

Economic Review of Milk Costs in 2018 and Projections for the Rest of 2019 and 2020

December 23, 2019

Lower milk prices still resulted in continued negative economic returns for Illinois dairy producers in 2018, according to figures summarized by the Illinois Farm Business Farm Management Association. The average net price received per 100 pounds of milk was $16.48, which was less than total economic costs of $19.72.  The price received for milk in […]

Frustration From the Corn Belt Over EPA Biofuel Refinery Waivers

December 20, 2019

Background Earlier this month, Reuters writers Stephanie Kelly and Jarrett Renshaw reported that, “U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Andrew Wheeler told a biofuels company on [December 5th] that the agency is working to address industry concerns over biofuel blending rules that have sparked outrage across the Farm Belt, according to a source familiar with the matter. “Biofuel producers and representatives of […]

The 2019 Agricultural Year in Review

December 17, 2019

With 2019 coming to an end, it’s time to reflect on the biggest stories in agriculture. It’s been a year full of uncertainty and never-ending breaking news, but here is our list of the year’s biggest ag stories. It’s a little hard to find a place to start, but we will begin with what we […]

Doubts Emerge About Chinese Agricultural Purchases of $40-$50 Billion After Initial Deal, “How Would They Do It?”

December 17, 2019

Don Lee and Alice Su reported in Saturday’s Los Angeles Times that, “The United States and China reached a preliminary trade agreement that includes the rollback of some tariffs on Chinese imports and a commitment by Beijing to make a substantial increase in purchases of American farm goods and other products and services. “A final settlement on the so-called […]

USMCA on Course for Ratification in 2020

December 11, 2019

Natalie Andrews, William Mauldin and Anthony Harrup reported yesterday at The Wall Street Journal Online that, “A new U.S. trade deal with Mexico and Canada gained backing from House Democrats, setting the agreement on course for likely ratification by Congress in 2020 and marking a victory for President Trump after months of negotiations to modify it. “Mr. Trump ran for office in 2016 […]

Soybean Price Prospects Moving into 2020

December 10, 2019

The two major drivers of uncertainty impacting soybean prices in 2019 appear set to carry over into 2020.  The status of trade negotiations with China continues to move soybean markets despite numerous fits and starts in the process. Another USDA estimate of the 2019 soybean crop comes out in January.  Without supportive information on either […]

African Swine Fever Roils Markets, as Food Prices Increase Amid Supply Concerns

December 10, 2019

Bloomberg News reported last week that, “China’s hog population has stopped shrinking and is starting to rise, after months of decline because of African swine fever, and the recovery should keep pork prices in check, a senior agriculture ministry official said. “Pig herds probably began to pick up in November after 12 provinces, including Henan, Shandong and Jilin, reported an […]

Farm Purchases Still an Issue in U.S., China Talks; China Waives Tariffs on Some U.S. Soybeans and Pork

December 9, 2019

Late last week, Wall Street Journal writers Grace Zhu, Eva Dou and Bob Davis reported that, “China’s trade negotiations with the U.S. remain on track, Beijing said, offering official reassurance after tensions flared between the world’s two biggest economies over human-rights issues in China. “The negotiating teams from both sides have maintained close communications, China’s Commerce Ministry said Thursday, […]